Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 17.512205 19.954614 22.620038 25.745733 29.312235 33.256678 37.952712
2024-10-20 13.570053 16.635890 20.235156 24.776127 30.358687 37.006188 45.536481
2024-10-27 10.935548 14.318335 18.559751 24.276455 31.795576 41.370010 54.524510
2024-11-03 9.307739 12.964828 17.842910 24.840769 34.652003 47.964447 67.480966
2024-11-10 8.097546 11.960167 17.423833 25.740629 38.132703 55.998233 83.868868
2024-11-17 6.897983 10.768950 16.557024 25.877499 40.591892 63.066319 100.269932
2024-11-24 5.686484 9.353710 15.132029 24.945345 41.310435 67.714088 113.960966
2024-12-01 4.715638 8.150725 13.839132 24.001402 41.856836 72.211912 128.331598
2024-12-08 4.051887 7.343048 13.058511 23.776883 43.577681 78.976490 147.920268
2024-12-15 3.565585 6.761037 12.568617 23.978675 46.097210 87.599953 172.595769
2024-12-22 3.121640 6.179692 11.983526 23.903864 48.099326 95.649879 197.835649
2024-12-29 2.850658 5.882998 11.884121 24.751406 52.060920 108.200007 234.634181
2025-01-05 2.522205 5.426669 11.421105 24.841502 54.632550 118.710188 270.017623
2025-01-12 2.173490 4.866254 10.651211 24.149629 55.431586 125.706392 299.378781
2025-01-19 1.910482 4.445125 10.105756 23.854257 57.074272 134.923049 336.034035
2025-01-26 1.754328 4.238822 10.002915 24.565851 61.231373 150.810566 392.591071
2025-02-02 1.634263 4.096270 10.023789 25.586245 66.372514 170.158739 462.559424
2025-02-09 1.482836 3.849123 9.751333 25.827434 69.610390 185.455865 525.557999
2025-02-16 1.296223 3.478086 9.105770 24.978117 69.813378 192.929108 568.846264
2025-02-23 1.134073 3.141887 8.490984 24.095139 69.758685 199.742444 612.051057
2025-03-02 1.022590 2.923538 8.151801 23.918945 71.696843 212.618985 676.803956
2025-03-09 0.940002 2.771521 7.968578 24.161585 74.941015 230.046093 760.297523
2025-03-16 0.856681 2.601996 7.705838 24.117704 77.317692 245.410225 841.149230